No time for the full treatment this year so I’ll barrel straight into it:
La La Land will be the big winner, it’ll take Best Picture, Best Director (for Damien Chazelle), Best Actress (for Emma Stone), Cinematography, Original Score, Original Song and probably a few of the minor ones but NOT Best Actor.
Best Actor: A toss-up between Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea) and Denzel Washington (Fences), I keep vacillating over this one but I’m going with Denzel.
Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali for Moonlight.
Supporting Actress: Definitely Viola Davis for Fences.
Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight.
Original Screenplay: Either Manchester by the Sea or La La Land. I have to pick one … nnng … I’ll go Manchester.
Animated Film: Either Zootopia (or Zootropolis as it was in the UK) or Kubo and the Two Strings. In previous years this would be a slam dunk for Zootopia but the Academy has grown up a bit this year so it could go either way. Maybe it hasn’t grown up *that* much. Zootopia.
Visual Effects: Got to be The Jungle Book, surely.