Another year, another opportunity to make myself look foolish. This is how I think the Oscars are going to go this year:
Best Picture: Between Three Billboards and The Shape of Water, I think it’ll be Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. But it might be the other one. I’m so decisive.
Best Director: Back in the day, Best Picture and Best Director always went to the same film. Those days are long gone, and I think this year it’ll be split again – partly because, inexplicably, Martin McDonagh hasn’t even been nominated for Three Billboards. Guillermo del Toro is thus a shoo-in for The Shape of Water, partially redeeming himself after the hateful Pacific Rim.
Best Actor: Definitely Gary Oldman for his Churchill in Darkest Hour. Nobody else stands a chance.
Best Actress: I think Frances McDormand is going to win it for Three Billboards. But I’ve actually put a small sneaky bet on Sally Hawkins for The Shape of Water, because I reckon her odds are far too long.
Best Supporting Actor: Almost certainly Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards.
Best Supporting Actress: Got to be Allison Janney for I, Tonya.
Cinematography: Probably Blade Runner 2049, though Dunkirk’s worth an outside punt.
Visual Effects: Could be Blade Runner or Planet of the Apes. It’s a coin toss, but personally I think War for the Planet of the Apes‘s were better so I’ll use that as my tie-break.
Adapted Screenplay: Although I haven’t seen it yet, all the signs point to Call Me by Your Name.
Original Screenplay: This is probably the most open of the lot, it could easily go to Three Billboards, Get Out or Lady Bird. So I’m going to have to go with my own pick, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.
Best Animated Film: Finishing on a near-certainty, Pixar’s latest Coco has got this one sewn up.