A year since my last post. Blimey. Well, here we go again…
Best Picture is between Roma and Green Book, but the latter had a little controversy lately over the writer agreeing with Trump about people celebrating 9/11 (what a bell-end) so I think that’ll tip it towards Roma.
Best Director will be Alfonso Cuaron for Roma.
Best Actor will probably go to Rami Malek for Bohemian Rhapsody (and if it isn’t him then definitely Christian Bale for Vice).
Best Actress is between Olivia Colman for The Favourite and Glenn Close for The Wife. Colman deserves it (she was brilliant) but the Scorsese Effect is going to swing it here – Glenn Close has been nominated without winning more times than any other actor still alive (seven times) so they’re going to give it to her this time, without a doubt.
Best Supporting Actor is probably Mahershala Ali‘s for Green Book, which will be the second time in three years that he’s won that award.
Best Supporting Actress is the most open of the main awards, it looks like Regina King will grab it for If Beale Street Could Talk.
Cinematography has Roma written all over it.
Original Screenplay is between The Favourite and Green Book; both are great but again I think Academy voters will be put off by the controversy and will finger The Favourite.
Adapted Screenplay is headed for Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman.
Visual Effects is one I often get wrong, possibly because I really don’t care (in my opinion Glass had much better effects than all the nominees, purely because you don’t notice them). The front-runners are Avengers: Infinity War and First Man and, given that they’ve started voting for superhero movies now, it’ll probably be Avengers.
Best Animated Movie is definitely going to Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse, (sadly not Ralph Breaks the Internet, which was fabulous).
We’ll find out on Monday morning quite how far off I was…